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Keep Emotion Out of Decision Making

May 7th, 2008 @ 9:37 am

1 Comment

Categories: Management, Personal Effectiveness, Strategy

Tags: Harvard Business School, Spotlight, Rivalry, Decision-making, Free Trade, Team Management, Finance, Management, Sean Silverthorne

We’ve all had the experience of letting our emotions get the better of our actions. But in a business setting, emotional decisions can be costly — and a quick way to lose your job.

But how do you keep cool, calm, and collected in the high pressure environment that marks the modern enterprise?

In the highly instructive Harvard Business Review article When Winning is Everything, authors Deepak Malhotra (Harvard Business School), Gillian Ku (London Business School), and Keith Murnighan (Northwestern’s Kellogg School of Management) describe the psychology of “competitive arousal,” and how managers can mitigate its effects.

Competitive juices are most often fueled by three factors: rivalry, time pressure, and being in the spotlight. And when all three are present, “collectively, they can lead to decision disasters. ” Take the 1993 bid for Paramount by longtime lock-horns Sumner Redstone (then the CEO of Viacom) and Barry Diller (then the CEO of QVC). The result: Redstone overpaid to the tune of $2 billion — $1.5 billion more than he intended — to acquire Paramount and secure a “Diller killer.”

The authors also report that the higher the stakes, the more likely you are to overbid.

Keeping Your Cool
Here’s what you can do to maintain your senses when the temperature starts to rise. Read the article for many more specifics and real-world examples:

  • Circumvent competition and defuse rivalries “Managers can prevent competitive arousal altogether by anticipating potentially harmful dynamics and then creatively restructuring the deal-making process.”
  • Reduce time pressure “Effective decision makers create time to reevaluate the bases of their value calculations, to discuss substantive issues, and to negotiate.”
  • Deflect the spotlight “To counter the effects of an internal spotlight on competitive arousal, organizations should consider spreading the responsibility for critical, competitive decisions across team members. That way, no one manager or executive will stand alone in the spotlight.”

Malhotra and colleagues at Harvard Business School have written on other aspects of negotiation. Some examples:

Dealing with the Irrational Negotiator

Four Strategies for Making Concessions

Six Steps for Making Your Threat Credible

Six Ways to Build Trust in Negotiations

 
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    pjmchugh@...

    05/10/08 | Report as spam

    Prediction Markets and Decision Support

    As noted, rivalry, time pressure and being in the spotlight can lead to decision disasters (or opportunities for exploitation depending on what side of the negotiating table you are sitting on). Leveraging prediction markets as a tool for decision support can diffuse some of these negative effects by adding a dispassionate viewpoint and capturing the "wisdom of crowds" as additional input to be considered. At BitInsight (www.bitinsight.com), a consulting firm utilizing prediction markets, we see interest in applying prediction market techniques to assist with acquisition decision support. The technique is ideally incorporated into an on-going decision support process and not applied for the first time in the "heat" of a large negotiation. Ultimately a market will decide on the wisdom of an acquisition decision made by any single individual. Isn't it better to have this feedback before-the-fact via an internal prediction market where little real money is at stake (if any) versus after-the-fact via the capital markets?

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  • Blogger Thumbnail Sean Silverthorne Sean Silverthorne is the editor of HBS Working Knowledge, which provides a first look at the research and ideas of Harvard Business School faculty. Working Knowledge, which won a Webby award in 2007, currently records 4 million unique visitors a year. He has been with HBS since 2001. Silverthorne has 28 years experience in print and online journalism. Before arriving at HBS, he was a senior editor at CNet and Executive Editor of ZDNet News.... more »

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