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Paulson on Bended Knee: Why the Urgency?

September 26th, 2008 @ 2:57 pm

9 Comments

Categories: Best Practices, Economy, Executive Focus, Finance, Opinion, Political Economy, Regulation, Strategy, Wisdom

Tags: Nancy Pelosi, Republican, Hank Paulson, Mortgages, Finance, Capital Structures, Peter Galuszka

Imagine Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson down on bended knee before House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. He’s begging for his $700 billion bailout. Pelosi, a Democrat stalwart, blames the Republicans in the House of Representatives. Paulson replies meekly: “I know, I know.”

At least there was a little comic relief when the deal that was supposed to be… wasn’t. It famously didn’t come together in the White House Thursday night after George W. Bush was abandoned by underling congressmen in his own party.

Adding to the tension over the lack of party discipline was John McCain. With great drama, the Republican  suspended his presidential campaign to play dealmaker and perhaps avoid tonight’s debate with Barack Obama (which, as it turns, out is still on).

Strange doings over a very serious issue.

But one has to ask why it is so imperative that a deal get done on precisely on the evening of Friday, Sept. 26, 2008?

The conventional wisdom seems to be on both the right and left wing that a bailout is needed. Yet there’s plenty of disagreement on how something this massive should be handled and how quickly.

The renegade Republicans are looking for ways other than public money to fund the bad loans which may total about $1.2 trillion. Doing so may not be a bad idea. Being typical GOPers, however, they also are throwing in tax breaks for capital gains — anything to give the rich another little advantage.

One worthy idea from the other side of aisle is offering the beleagured Common Man/Woman mortgage holder some kind of relief, as Sen. Hillary Clinton has argued. This goes to the heart of the problem since if you can repair damaged mortgages, things get better overall. If Paulson’s plan fails and the predicted economic firestorm occurs, then plenty more families will be unable to pay their mortgages and the problem will be far greater.

Paulson, however, is of Wall Street and sees things through that prism. His demands for haste could be explained this way: each day there’s no deal, his buddy financiers lose billions in loan service payments and stock markets suffer.

My view is, gee, that’s too bad. Didn’t Wall Street cause this problem? If there has to be a bailout, and plenty of serious economists wonder how much and whether it is worth it, why not take the extra time needed to get it right?

Have a tidbit of executive wisdom you would care to share with fellow BNET readers?

 
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  •  
    1

    oakye

    09/26/08 | Report as spam

    RE: Paulson on Bended Knee: Why the Urgency?

    Where were he & Bernanke 4 weeks ago? Last quarter? 6 months ago??? I'm not sure I'd trust them with $700B.

  •  
    2

    paulpsisson

    09/29/08 | Report as spam

    RE: Paulson on Bended Knee: Why the Urgency?

    You forgot to mention the democrats in congress who were protecting Fannie and Freddies' CEO's from republicans and regulators who were pointing out the mis-management then. This problem could have been avoided had congress stepped up for the American people, rather than there buddies at these institutions.

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    3

    brad_parker

    09/29/08 | Report as spam

    RE: Paulson on Bended Knee: Why the Urgency?

    Oops. Your bias is showing. Wall Street didn't cause this problem, although they certainly worked the system to their benefit. One of the root causes is the Community Reinvestment Act of 1977 under Carter requiring banks to provide credit for homeownership to underserved populations and small busines. CRA received a big boost from Clinton in 1995 when he ordered new regulations increasing access to borrowers considered risky. Bungling by Fannie Mae is one of the other root causes.

    And your comment about helping the rich is misguided -- cutting capital gains tax rates is the single best tax policy to improve economic growth.

  •  
    4

    chris_marschner

    09/29/08 | Report as spam

    RE: Paulson on Bended Knee: Why the Urgency?

    Irrespective of who is at fault, the problem lies with bad lending programs and mortgagees willingness to commit nearly all of their takehome pay a mortgage, that they cannot support, in hopes that rising home values will allow them to refinance the property later.

    A simpler solution would be to create a clearinghouse of properties nearing foreclosure for the purpose of asset swaps. Creating a marketplace that would allow borrowers to swap one property (assume the mortgage with the original terms) for one that they can afford to pay. This could eliminate many of these non performing assets for the lenders. Not everyone will be able to be accomodated but many could. At least this reduces the impact on the average homeowner, instills personal responsibility, and could lower the cost to the taxpayer.

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    5

    msalvatini

    09/29/08 | Report as spam

    RE: Paulson on Bended Knee: Why the Urgency?

    Fact: If you paid $5 for a $1 item you had a lapse in judgment. I shouldn't have to pay for that lapse. Vegas casino owners don't make you whole before you leave!
    Fact: Home prices rise in tandem with inflation...always; look at both over the last 20 years. Somebody paid $5 for the $1 item, and $10 in the last 3-5 years. Lenders created a scheme and environment to lend you the $9, which would they would turn into $19 in a couple of years. You thought and they supported the belief that the $1 item would be worth $40. Don't feel bad, other lenders though it would too and sold the paper to others of the "there is a free lunch crowd".
    Fact: The $700B won't even come close to covering the tab.
    Solution: Let's all agree that the $1 item is actually worth...$1! Take all the loans and adjust them to support the real $1 item value. People stay in their homes, make payments on the prorated amount to support a tangible item worth $1!! The gamers lose their bet, but don't go belly up. They'll get the appropriate payment on the $1 item. They're not poor, they're just not as rich. Our dollar stays where it is without being diluted further by $700 B we don't have. Those who took a big bet in the game leave Vegas with just the airline ticket home...just like everyone else.
    Alternative: The $700 B pushes inflation, which pushes unemployment, which pushes the loan adjustments, which pushes people to leave the $1 item on the table with lenders saying it's not $1 item it's really $40. Nobody will pay $40 for an item worth $1, and now no one even has the $1.
    Eventually the government asks if anyone want's to buy these $1 items for...$1. Lives ruined, dollars come on rolls to wipe up spills, and those who perpetrated this retire quietly, with Mr. Paulson....and never vacation in Vegas.

    Paulson should get everyone together and just declare a financial mulligan.

    Asset swap sounds too professional for a group of Vegas high rollers who crapped out. Everyone gets a learning experience, like our parents in 1929, and we should be better for it...until the next time! Like the directions say, lather, rinse and repeat.

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    6

    eric.hanson

    09/29/08 | Report as spam

    RE: Paulson on Bended Knee: Why the Urgency?

    Peter,

    As a "journalist" your motives are already suspect. In fact, in college I took a course called "Ethics in Journalism". It was the shortest class ever given due to a lack of subject matter. A little journalistic investigation may cause you to re-think your stance but that would take too much time, effort, and integrity, especially when your mind is already made up.

    This entire mess is a result NOT of the "Republican revolt" in Congress, but of the socialist experiment of providing affordable housing to everyone, WHETHER THEY COULD AFFORD IT OR NOT. The grand architects of this plan are now economic advisors to Barack Obama, a job they scurried off to after lining their pockets with dirty money from Fannie and Fredddie for years to the tune of $100 million plus!

    In fact, if a Republican was anywhere NEAR the source of this problem he/she would have already been publicy crucified. Since there are no such suspects (unless one glances to the left of the isle) the silence from the press is absolutely deafening.

    The Republicans in Congress are the only ones acting with any sense of responsibility because they refuse to sign a blank check to essentially throw good money after bad. The fact that the Democrats had the votes to pass the measure without any Republican assistance and were still unable to get the job done clearly illustrates that even many of those on the left of the isle have second thoughts about this plan.

    The urgency is clearly a case of trying to ram this plan down the country's throat before anyone has a chance to grasp the consequences of the ill-conceived, hastily constructed mess. The more we know about it the more we find it unpalatable. Using this crisis as another Federal Government power-grab is unconscionable behavior but I'm sad to say is typical enough of the Democrat party that I am not surprised... continually disappointed, but not surprised.

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    7

    matthew5six

    09/29/08 | Report as spam

    RE: Paulson on Bended Knee: Why the Urgency?

    Simple greed by lenders to make a buck off financially illiterate borrowers and people living beyond their means by gambling on their future ability to pay off a loan are at the root of the problem. I as a responsible borrower should not have to pay for their greed with my tax dollars. Let the banks restructure mortages with terms a borrower can afford and hold the borrowers to their commitment in taking a loan in the first place. Lenders should accept greatly reduced profits for the priviledge of even staying in business. As for the investors in the businesses that are going bankrupt, thats what you get for taking a risk. Next time be a little more conservative.

  •  
    8

    bigpublisher

    09/30/08 | Report as spam

    RE: Paulson on Bended Knee: Why the Urgency?

    Count me among those who come to bnet -- and receive daily email messages -- for business insight and information, not biased and not-so-subtle political commentary from a partisan. I get that from mainstream medai.

    More political commentaries from bnet, and I will cancel my email subscription.

  •  
    9

    btrossman

    09/30/08 | Report as spam

    RE: Paulson on Bended Knee: Why the Urgency?

    Can anyone explain to me why all of the press is calling this a wall street problem? It would seem that the news media is doing as much as they can to purposly slip the american public a mickey. The 90 seconds devoted to this story on the today show, good morning america, or the local news program is probably what most folks hear. All the hype is about "wall street's crisis". I think that the fact that the banks and credit card companies made bad choices is getting totally missed. When companies offer new credit cards to people who can't make payments on the ones that they already have who is to blame? - Responsibility is apparently a hard thing to accept. The bailout is for these companies - if I even understand this right - not "wall street" There seams to be as much mis-information in the media for political purposes right now as anything and it is really disappointing. I wish I knew of some way to make it stop, but I fear that it will continue until the election is finally decided then the media will have less of a vested interest and report the truth instead of sensationalizing - that is if we haven't been plunged into anarchy by then!

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